Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely over northwest and east India while very heavy to extremely heavy rainfall is predicted over northeast India during the next 4-5 days, says the India Meteorological Department’s latest weather report on Wednesday. Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy falls occurred at isolated places over Gujarat, east Uttar Pradesh, and Bihar, heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over west Uttar Pradesh, east Rajasthan, and Himachal Pradesh, and heavy rainfall at isolated places over Haryana, Konkan, Goa, central Maharashtra, Odisha, and Vidarbha.
The monsoon trough is north of its normal position at mean sea level, a cyclonic circulation lies over Himachal Pradesh, and a trough runs from southeast Pakistan to Bangladesh at lower tropospheric levels, according to the IMD forecast. Because of this, fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over northwest and central India during the next five days. Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, and Chandigarh from July 4 to 7, Punjab and east Rajasthan from July 3 to 7, west Madhya Pradesh from July 3 to 5, east Madhya Pradesh from July 3 to 4, and over Chhattisgarh on July 3.
Isolated very heavy rainfall is likely over Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, and Chandigarh on July 3, Uttarakhand on July 7, and Uttar Pradesh from July 3 to 7. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is very likely over Uttarakhand from July 3 to 6.
The report says a cyclonic circulation lies over Manipur and a trough runs from northeast Madhya Pradesh to Manipur, in lower tropospheric levels. Another cyclonic circulation is over Bangladesh in lower and middle tropospheric levels. Because of these fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over east and northeast India during the next five days. Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands on July 4 and 5, sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim on July 7, Odisha from July 3 to 7, Gangetic West Bengal and Jharkhand on July 4, and Bihar, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura on July 6 and 7.
Isolated very heavy rainfall is likely over sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim from July 3 to 6, Gangetic West Bengal on July 3, Bihar from July 3 to 5, Jharkhand on July 3, Arunachal Pradesh on July 3, 4, and 7, Assam and Meghalaya on July 3 and 7, and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura from July 3 to 5.
Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is very likely over Arunachal Pradesh on July 5 and 6, and Assam and Meghalaya from July 4 to 6.
A cyclonic circulation lies over Gujarat in the middle tropospheric levels. The off-shore trough at mean sea level runs along the south Gujarat-Kerala coasts, says the IMD. Under their influence, fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over Kerala, Mahe, Lakshadweep, coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa, and Gujarat, scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall over central Maharashtra, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and interior Karnataka, and isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall over Marathwada, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Rayalaseema, and Telangana during the next five days.
Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Konkan, Goa, Kerala, Mahe, and Karnataka from July 3 to 7, central Maharashtra on July 3 and 4, Saurashtra and Kutch on July 3, and Gujarat on July 4 and 5. Isolated very heavy rainfall is very likely over Gujarat on July 3 and over Ghat areas of central Maharashtra from July 5 to 7.
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